Jonathan Mingo Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Mingo

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
Jonathan Mingo has run a route on 94.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has yielded a staggering 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the worst rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Jonathan Mingo profiles as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a mere 46.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile among wideouts

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