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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Jonathan Mingo's 5.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteable progression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 3.6% mark.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (168.0) to wideouts this year.
  • This year, the porous New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a massive 6.04 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).
  • After accruing 61.0 air yards per game last year, Jonathan Mingo has undergone a big decline this year, now averaging 30.0 per game.
  • Jonathan Mingo's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 45.6.

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