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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

Jonathan Mingo grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs since the start of last season with a whopping 24.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

The Chargers defense has been torched for the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (168.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Panthers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

While Jonathan Mingo has garnered 18.9% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Carolina's offense this week at 11.2%.

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