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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are forecasted by the projections to call 67.7 total plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Jonathan Mingo's 4.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a significant gain in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 3.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

The projections expect Jonathan Mingo to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this week (3.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).

After accruing 61.0 air yards per game last season, Jonathan Mingo has produced significantly fewer this season, now sitting at 28.0 per game.

The Cowboys O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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