Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Panthers offense to tilt 5.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.3 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
The Houston Texans defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 56.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Jonathan Mingo is positioned as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing just 52.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 4th percentile among wideouts
With a weak 4.5 adjusted yards per target (7th percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo places among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL in football.
With a lackluster 2.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo rates among the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL in the open field.