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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Mingo to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this week (16.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.7% in games he has played).

Jonathan Mingo has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, completing a measly 37.2% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 5th percentile among wide receivers

Jonathan Mingo has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a measly 3.06 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile among wideouts

The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.

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