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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Johnny Mundt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.15 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Johnny Mundt to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (3.9% in games he has played).

The Vikings O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) vs. TEs last year (69.2%).

The New York Giants safeties project as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league last year in covering receivers.

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