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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (42.2 per game) this year.
  • Johnny Mundt's 66.7% Route Participation% this year shows an impressive gain in his pass attack workload over last year's 12.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 31.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has yielded a mere 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the best rate in the league.
  • The Lions safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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