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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Johnny Mundt has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (69.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (12.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.8 per game) this year.

Johnny Mundt's 4.6 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 7.1 rate.

This year, the stout Jets defense has conceded a meager 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the formidable New York Jets defense has given up a mere 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

The Jets linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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