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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this contest, Johnny Mundt is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile among tight ends with 4.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Texans defense has yielded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a meager 6.8 yards.

The Houston Texans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.28 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-fewest in the league.

The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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