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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense last year: 5th-most in football.

The predictive model expects Johnny Mundt to garner 4.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to call just 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

With a poor 6.8 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Johnny Mundt rates among the weakest pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus TEs last year, surrendering 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.11 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

The 49ers linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league last year in pass coverage.

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