Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Johnny Mundt

NFL · Player Props

Johnny Mundt

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 68.8% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Minnesota O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
Johnny Mundt has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (5.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (19.6%).
Johnny Mundt has accrued a puny 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile among tight ends.
Johnny Mundt has been one of the weakest tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 11.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 15th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

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