Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Johnny Mundt

NFL · Player Props

Johnny Mundt

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
Johnny Mundt has gone out for fewer passes this year (25.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (15.0%).
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (77.3%) to tight ends this year (77.3%).

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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