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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Johnny Mundt has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (27.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (15.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) vs. TEs this year.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (65.9%) to TEs since the start of last season (65.9%).

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