John Wolford Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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John Wolford

NFL · Player Props

John Wolford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

John Wolford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 196.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 195.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 196.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup QB John Wolford in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-most yards in football (261.0 per game) vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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