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John Bates

John Bates Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up a massive 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

With a puny 1.2 adjusted catches per game (21st percentile) since the start of last season, John Bates stands among the weakest pass-catching tight ends in football.

John Bates grades out as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in a measly 68.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

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