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John Bates

John Bates Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
John Bates Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-118/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.
  • With a meager 0.7 adjusted receptions per game (2nd percentile) this year, John Bates ranks as one of the bottom pass-catching TEs in the league.
  • The Eagles pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.8%) vs. tight ends this year (71.8%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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