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John Bates

John Bates Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

John Bates Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-104/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

John Bates's 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year conveys an impressive improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 5.5 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.

After totaling 11.0 air yards per game last year, John Bates has regressed heavily this year, now averaging 4.0 per game.

With a feeble 7.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (10th percentile) this year, John Bates places as one of the worst pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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