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Joe Mixon
NFL · Player Props
Joe Mixon
RB · Cincinnati Bengals
Rushing Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Joe Mixon Rushing Yards

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • In this game, Joe Mixon is predicted by the projections to place in the 95th percentile among RBs with 16.8 carries.
  • After accounting for 68.6% of his offense's carries last year, Joe Mixon has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now comprising 81.4%.
  • Joe Mixon has grinded out 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (87th percentile).
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing 5.13 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 34.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.
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