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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to total 16.1 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has generated 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (86th percentile).
  • Joe Mixon has been among the best RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.31 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 75th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

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