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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Bengals to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the model to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.3 carries.

With a terrific rate of 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (86th percentile), Joe Mixon has been among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning.

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 33.2% run rate.

While Joe Mixon has been responsible for 72.0% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Cincinnati's running game in this contest at 59.5%.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league last year at blocking for the run game.

With a very bad rate of 2.41 yards after contact (10th percentile) this year, Joe Mixon has been among the least effective running backs in the NFL.

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