Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to accrue 15.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Joe Mixon has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this season (79.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (68.6%).
With an impressive rate of 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (84th percentile), Joe Mixon stands among the best pure runners in the league this year.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 31.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in run-blocking.
This year, the formidable Ravens run defense has allowed a paltry 96.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 9th-best in football.

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