Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The projections expect Joe Mixon to accrue 16.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (80.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (68.6%).
With an exceptional total of 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Joe Mixon stands among the best running backs in the NFL this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The Bengals O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.
With a lousy total of 2.57 yards after contact (24th percentile) this year, Joe Mixon places as one of the least effective running backs in the NFL.

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