Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accrue 14.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has garnered 68.6% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has averaged 62.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (85th percentile).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (137 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Joe Mixon's ground effectiveness (4.10 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (24th percentile among RBs).

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