Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accrue 18.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has been given 84.0% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has picked up 55.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (76th percentile).
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Joe Mixon's ground effectiveness (3.43 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (8th percentile among RBs).
Joe Mixon has taken a step back when it comes to generating extra rushing yardage this year, compiling 2.05 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.09 mark last year.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.