Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to notch 18.6 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has garnered 83.8% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has picked up 59.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (80th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Joe Mixon's rushing efficiency (3.44 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (10th percentile among running backs).
Joe Mixon has been worse at generating extra running yardage this season, totaling 2.02 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.09 rate last season.

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