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Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-117).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -117.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to notch 18.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.Joe Mixon has earned 89.1% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.Joe Mixon has grinded out 57.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (80th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
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