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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to total 12.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon has averaged 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (85th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills safeties project as the 29th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this week (59.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.2% in games he has played).

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in run blocking.

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