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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 19.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has received 80.8% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has averaged 58.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Joe Mixon's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 2.98 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.09 figure last year.
  • Joe Mixon has struggled more with picking up extra rushing yardage this year, compiling 1.78 yards-after-contact vs a 3.09 figure last year.

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