Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 19.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has received 80.8% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has averaged 58.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Joe Mixon's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 2.98 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.09 figure last year.
Joe Mixon has struggled more with picking up extra rushing yardage this year, compiling 1.78 yards-after-contact vs a 3.09 figure last year.

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