Joe Mixon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to total 13.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has picked up 62.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (85th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 31.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a less important option in his team's run game this week (58.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.2% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.

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