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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

Joe Mixon has grinded out 64.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (89th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 31st-worst group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (59.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (74.4% in games he has played).

Joe Mixon has been among the bottom RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging just 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile.

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