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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to total 19.8 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon has been given 82.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has rushed for a lot more yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Joe Mixon has been among the bottom running backs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.44 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.29 yards-per-carry.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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