Joe Mixon Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-163).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
Joe Mixon has received 88.9% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most touchdowns in football (1.00 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-least run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 39.7% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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