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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to earn 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.1 per game) this year.

Joe Mixon's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 21.4.

Joe Mixon's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.3 figure.

Joe Mixon's 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys an impressive decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 86.0% figure.

More Joe Mixon Player Props

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