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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Joe Mixon's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 21.4.

Joe Mixon's 2.6 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 4.3 figure.

Joe Mixon's 78.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 86.0% mark.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Joe Mixon Player Props

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