My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.

The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

Joe Mixon's 8.9% Target Share this season reflects a a substantial diminishment in his pass attack usage over last season's 14.0% rate.

Joe Mixon's 2.5 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a a noteable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 4.3 mark.

Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 86.0% to 78.5%.

This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a meager 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

More Joe Mixon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™