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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to garner 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 14.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Joe Mixon has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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