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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to notch 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (14.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 89.2% to 84.9%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.3%) versus running backs this year (73.3%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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