Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Joe Mixon is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.7 targets.
Joe Mixon's 12.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a a noteable gain in his efficiency in space over last year's 7.6% figure.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Joe Mixon's 8.9% Target Share this season reflects a a substantial diminishment in his pass attack usage over last season's 14.0% rate.
After accumulating 1.0 air yards per game last year, Joe Mixon has fallen off this year, now pacing -9.0 per game.
Joe Mixon has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).
Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 86.0% to 78.5%.

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