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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Joe Mixon is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets.

Joe Mixon's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this season, compiling 15.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 7.55 figure last season.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (42.0) vs. running backs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

Joe Mixon's 8.9% Target Share this year shows a a remarkable decrease in his passing offense workload over last year's 14.0% rate.

After totaling 1.0 air yards per game last season, Joe Mixon has undergone a big decline this season, currently boasting -10.0 per game.

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