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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

The model projects Joe Mixon to accrue 4.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 30.0 yards per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 119.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Joe Mixon grades out in the paltry 21st percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling just -1.0 per game.

Joe Mixon's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 21.4.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 86.0% to 68.5%.

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