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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon has been among the top RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 31.0 yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
  • Joe Mixon's talent in picking up extra yardage have improved this season, totaling 15.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.55 mark last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, allowing 6.38 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 86.0% to 74.8%.

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