Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has been among the top RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 31.0 yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Joe Mixon's talent in picking up extra yardage have improved this season, totaling 15.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 7.55 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, allowing 6.38 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 86.0% to 74.8%.

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