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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to garner 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 14.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon has been among the leading pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 32.0 yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.44 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.43 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in football.

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