Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 4.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 14.0.
Joe Mixon has accrued many more receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
Joe Mixon has put up a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among RBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Joe Mixon's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 89.2% to 80.8%.

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