Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Joe Mixon has accrued a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 5th percentile among running backs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Joe Mixon's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 89.2% to 77.1%.
Joe Mixon's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, averaging a mere 5.11 yards-per-target vs a 5.91 rate last year.

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