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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to earn 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.

Joe Mixon has accrued significantly more receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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