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Joe Mixon
NFL · Player Props
Joe Mixon
RB · Cincinnati Bengals
Receiving Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 9, 2023 3:56 AM UTC
NFL Props Joe Mixon Receiving Yards

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.
  • Joe Mixon has posted significantly more receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
Favors Under
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
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