Joe Mixon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accrue 4.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 13.4% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in football (just 23.0) versus running backs this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 4.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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