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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon's 21.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 16.0.

Joe Mixon has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against RBs this year, giving up 5.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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