Joe Mixon Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+470/-850).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Joe Mixon ranks in the 84th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.14 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Joe Mixon has been been lightly used his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has compiled a mere -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 8th percentile among running backs.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 3rd-least TDs through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.11 per game since the start of last season.

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